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How Likely Is Nuclear War 2022 - The Dangers That Have Many People Concerned


According to the Former U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara and James G. Blight, professor of international relations at Watson Institute for International Studies, the possibility of nuclear extinction is real. It does exist today.

The possibility of nuclear extinction is real. It exists today, . . . despite the fact that the Cold War ended more than a decade ago.

- Robert S. McNamara and James G. Blight

How likely is nuclear war 2022? This ain't easy to answer but we will see some of the statements on the internet to answer this question.

How Realistic Is A Nuclear War?

This Is What a Nuclear War Would Actually Look Like (HBO)

COPYRIGHT_GPOT: Published on https://gpotcenter.org/how-likely-is-nuclear-war-2022/ by - on 2022-10-10T22:38:36.223Z

On Reddit, a question is "how likely is a nuclear war?" And according to one of the comments:

Very unlikely. Avoided at all costs. They might not be the smartest, but the worlds leaders are smart enough to know that a nuclear war = end of the world and they will avoid that at all costs. Having nukes’ only advantage is the threat, really.

- Dyselxiccarrot from Reddit

Does the person who posted this comment have a point? Yes, because they see themselves as contributing to the solution of a problem by getting involved in politics and these issues. But how are they going to solve the problem if they all end up dying?

But also consider the next information below:

Is A Nuclear War Unavoidable? - Based On Current Happenings

A woman examines a photograph of a nuclear explosion
A woman examines a photograph of a nuclear explosion

The Russian invasion of Ukraine and threats to use nuclear weapons against the West have brought up the issue of nuclear weapons again.

When a United Nations treaty to ban these weapons completely went into effect last year, none of the nine countries that have nuclear weapons were among the 86 countries that signed it. How can these countries defend having weapons that put everyone in danger?

That's a good question, but there's also another one that needs to be thought about: if the US signed the treaty and destroyed its own arsenal, would it still be able to stop Russia from attacking Europe again? If the answer is no, you should also think about whether or not nuclear war is unavoidable.

It's not a new question. In 1960, the British scientist and novelist C.P. Snow came to the conclusion that there would be a nuclear war within 10 years.

That might have been too much, but many people thought Snow's prediction would be true if there was a war within a century. In the 1980s, Nuclear Freeze activists like Helen Caldicott warned, like Snow, that building up nuclear weapons "will make nuclear war a mathematical certainty."

People who want to get rid of nuclear weapons often say that if you flip a coin once, you have a 50% chance of getting heads. If you flip it 10 times, however, you have a 99.9% chance of getting heads at least once.

If there is a 1% chance of nuclear war in the next 40 years, that chance goes up to 99% in 8,000 years. The odds will turn against us at some point. Even if we cut the risks in half every year, we will never get to zero.

It May Pose A Threat To Many People In 2022 Through Future Generations

The war in Ukraine has shown us that uncertainty and risk are always there. The goal of reducing the role of nuclear weapons over time, not getting rid of them completely, is still as important as ever.

A nuclear explosion
A nuclear explosion

Richard Garwin, who made the first hydrogen bomb, said:

If the probability of nuclear war this year is 1%, and if each year we manage to reduce it to only 80% of what it was the previous year, then the cumulative probability of nuclear war for all time will be 5%.

- Richard Garwin

With that chance, we can live good lives.

According to CNN, in their interview with a former British army officer and former commander of the UK & NATO Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) Forces, Hamish de Bretton-Gordon, when they asked hi9m about strikes on nuclear stations.

Here's what Hamish said:

The Russians hope that if the Ukraine people give up the military will quickly follow, which in my opinion is a highly flawed assumption.

- Hamish de Bretton-Gordon

On more than one occasion, it looks like Russian forces bombed chemical plants in Ukraine on purpose to make the area toxic.

Even though blowing up these power plants would not cause a nuclear explosion like a bomb, it could spread radioactive debris and contaminate water supplies in the area.

People Also Ask

What Happens If There Is A Nuclear War?

From the heat and blast of the explosion, a nuclear attack could kill a lot of people, hurt a lot of people, and damage a lot of infrastructures. There could also be serious radiological effects from both the initial nuclear radiation and the radioactive fallout that settles after the initial event.

Where Is The Safest Place To Live If There Is A Nuclear War?

The Guardian did some modeling in 2016 and found that "should nuclear annihilation be likely," one of the safest places to live would be Antarctica or Easter Island in the South Pacific, which is more than 2,000 miles from South America.

Can Russian Nuclear Missiles Reach Us?

New START puts limits on all of Russia's intercontinental-range nuclear weapons, including every nuclear warhead that can be put on a ballistic missile that can reach the U.S. in about 30 minutes.

Final Words

The vast majority of people would die horrible deaths from burns, radiation, and starvation, and it's likely that civilization as we know it would end. The survivors would have to make a living on a planet that was destroyed and empty.

Nuclear threats in our generation are no joke, we have to take them seriously and do whatever we can to avoid them.

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