Policy Brief | Renewed Arms Race, the NPT, and the New START Treaty After the End of the INF Treaty
Elif Beyza Karaalioğlu - June 2019
Abstract: The U.S. decision to withdraw from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty left world observing about what might happen next. Indeed, the demise of the INF Treaty points out to an uncertainty on arms control and it brings new questions regarding international security. In the light of recent developments on the INF Treaty, this study attempts to make an analysis on the possible impacts of the end of the INF Treaty on international security. This study argues that the collapse of the INF Treaty raise concerns for renewed arms race and the withdrawal from the INF Treaty inevitably brings other treaties such as the NPT and the New START into close consideration.
The collapse of The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty signals the end of a Cold War era bilateral treaty. Tensions between two states started to increase with the U.S. decision to withdraw from the historical arms control treaty. The renewed arms race between the U.S. and Russia came to surface again and the coming period for arms control is now in a fragile state. This paper aims to discuss the possible impacts of the end of the INF Treaty on international security. An overview of the background of the INF Treaty is needed in order to understand the current developments about the treaty. The first section of this paper focuses on the background of the INF treaty, the second part discusses the possibility of renewed arms race, later passage examines other treaties such as the NPT and the New START, and lastly this paper provides concluding remarks.
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